David Montgomery Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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David Montgomery

NFL · Player Props

David Montgomery

RB · Detroit Lions

Carries

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 5:11 PM EST

Analysis

David Montgomery Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being a giant 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
The 6th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Lions this year (a massive 60.9 per game on average).
Our trusted projections expect David Montgomery to accrue 15.0 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile among running backs.
David Montgomery has been a more integral piece of his offense's running game this year (60.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (39.4%).
The Lions offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football last year at opening holes for runners.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

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