David Montgomery Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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David Montgomery

NFL · Player Props

David Montgomery

RB · Detroit Lions

Carries

Los Angeles Chargers vs Detroit Lions · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

David Montgomery Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-122/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 40.1% rate of rushing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most run-focused team in the NFL has been the Lions.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the predictive model to run 65.8 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
The 5th-most plays in football have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a monstrous 62.8 per game on average).
This week, David Montgomery is forecasted by the model to find himself in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.6 carries.
David Montgomery has been a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this year (64.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (39.4%).

Favors Under

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