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David Montgomery
NFL · Player Props
David Montgomery
RB · Chicago Bears
Carries
New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears · Week 7, 2022 Updated Oct 24, 2022 11:56 PM UTC
NFL Props David Montgomery Carries

David Montgomery Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -135.

Favors Over
  • The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects David Montgomery to total 14.7 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
  • The Chicago Bears O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year at blocking for rushers.
  • The New England Patriots defensive tackles grade out as the 7th-worst collection of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
Favors Under
  • The Bears are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bears to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Chicago Bears have called the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.0 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • David Montgomery has been much less involved in his offense's rushing attack this year (46.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (74.1%).
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