David Bell Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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David Bell

NFL · Player Props

David Bell

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

David Bell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have run the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects David Bell to be much more involved in his team's pass attack this week (12.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.4% in games he has played).
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
David Bell has been among the best possession receivers in the league, completing an impressive 80.4% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 90th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 126.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
The Houston Texans pass defense has conceded the 9th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.9%) versus wide receivers this year (63.9%).

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