David Bell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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David Bell

NFL · Player Props

David Bell

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 31, 2022 11:36 PM UTC

Analysis

David Bell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line has allowed their QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
David Bell has compiled a paltry 13.0 air yards per game this year: just 20th percentile among WRs.
David Bell's 9.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the worst in football: 22nd percentile for wide receivers.
David Bell has been among the worst wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 13.0 yards per game while checking in at the 17th percentile among wide receivers.

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