David Bell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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David Bell

NFL · Player Props

David Bell

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 6:21 PM UTC

Analysis

David Bell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
David Bell has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in an impressive 75.4% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.
The Buffalo Bills defense has surrendered the 8th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (165.0) vs. wideouts this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 56.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.
David Bell's 13.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the worst in the NFL: 25th percentile for wideouts.
David Bell has been among the weakest WRs in the game this year, averaging a mere 16.0 yards per game while grading out in the 17th percentile among WRs.
David Bell has been among the weakest wide receivers in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.

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