David Bell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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David Bell

NFL · Player Props

David Bell

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

David Bell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.4 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects David Bell to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing offense this week (9.8% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.7% in games he has played).
The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 9th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
David Bell has compiled a mere 14.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 23rd percentile among WRs.
David Bell has been among the bottom wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a mere 15.0 yards per game while checking in at the 20th percentile among wide receivers.
The Miami Dolphins defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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