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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Rams vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the Rams to run the most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
  • The projections expect Davante Adams to accumulate 10.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • With a sizeable 28.3% Target Rate (97th percentile) last year, Davante Adams stands as one of the wideouts with the highest volume in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Rams grades out as the 5th-worst in football last year.
  • The Texans pass defense has surrendered the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (58.3%) vs. wideouts last year (58.3%).
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Houston's unit has been excellent last year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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