My Account Log Out

reorder

Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Houston Texans

Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the New York Jets to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 62.5% pass rate.

The predictive model expects Davante Adams to accrue 8.5 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are forecasted by the model to run just 63.5 total plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.

Davante Adams has been much less involved in his team's passing game this season (24.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (35.2%).

Davante Adams's pass-catching performance declined this season, accumulating a mere 5.0 adjusted receptions compared to 6.0 last season.

This year, the formidable Texans defense has conceded a puny 56.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the smallest rate in the league.

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Houston's group of LBs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 9th-best in the NFL.

More Davante Adams Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™