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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (64.6% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the New York Jets.
  • Our trusted projections expect Davante Adams to total 7.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 88th percentile among WRs.
  • The Jets offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Davante Adams rates as one of the top WRs in the league this year, averaging a remarkable 5.2 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.
  • Davante Adams's 63.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents an impressive growth in his receiving proficiency over last year's 59.2% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Jets being a 3-point favorite in this game.
  • The predictive model expects the Jets to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Davante Adams's 60.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 86.5.

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