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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Jets

Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the New York Jets to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.6% pass rate.

Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

The model projects Davante Adams to garner 9.4 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.

In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the New York Jets profiles as the 5th-best in the league this year.

With a stellar 5.8 adjusted receptions per game (93rd percentile) this year, Davante Adams places among the leading pass-catching WRs in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical game plan.

The 10th-fewest plays in football have been called by the New York Jets this year (a lowly 56.1 per game on average).

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Davante Adams's 27.3% Target% this season marks a material decrease in his pass attack workload over last season's 35.2% rate.

More Davante Adams Player Props

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