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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

New York Jets vs Indianapolis Colts

Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Jets to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 total plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

Our trusted projections expect Davante Adams to accumulate 10.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among WRs.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the New York Jets profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.

With a stellar 5.4 adjusted receptions per game (89th percentile) this year, Davante Adams ranks among the best WRs in the game in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Jets, who are favored by 4.5 points.

The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the New York Jets this year (just 56.2 per game on average).

Davante Adams's 27.8% Target Rate this season signifies a meaningful diminishment in his pass game workload over last season's 35.2% mark.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Indianapolis's CB corps has been terrific this year, ranking as the 6th-best in football.

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