Davante Adams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Davante Adams

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/+102).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.
The leading projections forecast Davante Adams to garner 11.5 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Davante Adams has been among the best WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 6.3 receptions per game while ranking in the 94th percentile.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Raiders to run the 9th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Raiders have called the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Davante Adams to be a much smaller piece of his team's pass game in this contest (33.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (40.2% in games he has played).

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