Davante Adams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Davante Adams

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to total 10.3 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 98th percentile among wideouts.
Davante Adams has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 31.2% since the start of last season, which places him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Davante Adams has been among the best WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 5.9 receptions per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.

Favors Under

The Raiders are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 8th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in football.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has yielded the lowest Completion% in the league (60.9%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (60.9%).

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