Davante Adams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Davante Adams

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to accumulate 11.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
Davante Adams has been an integral part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 30.9% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
Davante Adams has been among the best pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 5.9 receptions per game while ranking in the 93rd percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 5th-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the league.
Davante Adams has been among the worst possession receivers in the league, hauling in a measly 59.9% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 14th percentile among wideouts
The Buffalo Bills safeties profile as the 9th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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