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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

The predictive model expects Davante Adams to total 11.4 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Davante Adams's 86.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 75.0.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Raiders ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year.

Davante Adams has been one of the best WRs in the game this year, averaging a stellar 6.0 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Raiders are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.

Right now, the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (58.0% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Las Vegas Raiders.

The predictive model expects the Raiders to call the 8th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 2nd-fewest plays in football have been run by the Raiders this year (just 54.5 per game on average).

Davante Adams is positioned as one of the most hard-handed receivers in football, hauling in a mere 59.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 21st percentile among wideouts

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