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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders

Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-124/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

This week, Davante Adams is projected by the projection model to rank in the 99th percentile among WRs with 11.6 targets.

Davante Adams's 83.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 75.0.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders grades out as the 7th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 7th-least pass-focused offense in the league (57.3% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Las Vegas Raiders.

The projections expect the Raiders to be the 4th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 28.57 seconds per play.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.7 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.

Davante Adams profiles as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football, completing just 59.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile among WRs

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