Davante Adams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 12:22 AM UTC

Analysis

Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+125/-155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
The projections expect Davante Adams to earn 9.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
With a remarkable 32.5% Target Rate (99th percentile) this year, Davante Adams stands among the wideouts with the highest volume in the NFL.
In regards to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the best in football this year.
Davante Adams comes in as one of the top wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an impressive 5.6 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.

Favors Under

The model projects the Raiders as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the projection model to call just 62.0 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.2 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, New York's collection of CBs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.