Davante Adams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Davante Adams

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+117/-157).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -157.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to accumulate 9.6 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.
Davante Adams has been an integral part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 29.0% this year, which ranks him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties grade out as the 10th-worst safety corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 6th-slowest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 29.05 seconds per snap.
Davante Adams's pass-catching performance tailed off this season, totaling just 5.3 yards per game compared to 7.4 last season.
Davante Adams's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 75.3% to 59.2%.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64%) vs. wideouts this year (64.0%).
The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.

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