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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+117/-157).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -157.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.3% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to accumulate 9.6 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Davante Adams has been an integral part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 29.0% this year, which ranks him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties grade out as the 10th-worst safety corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 6th-slowest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 29.05 seconds per snap.
  • Davante Adams's pass-catching performance tailed off this season, totaling just 5.3 yards per game compared to 7.4 last season.
  • Davante Adams's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 75.3% to 59.2%.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64%) vs. wideouts this year (64.0%).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.

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