Davante Adams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Davante Adams

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 4th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to earn 10.8 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
Davante Adams has been among the best WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 7.1 receptions per game while ranking in the 100th percentile.
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line has allowed their QB 2.64 seconds before the pass (8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass game stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the league.
Davante Adams has been a much smaller piece of his team's passing attack this season (28.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (33.3%).
Davante Adams's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 75.3% to 55.0%.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (60.8%) to wideouts since the start of last season (60.8%).

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