Davante Adams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Davante Adams

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 2, 2023 3:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/-101).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Las Vegas Raiders will be rolling with backup QB Jarrett Stidham this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Raiders are a 6-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 64.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Las Vegas Raiders boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.5% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the least total plays on the slate this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Davante Adams's play as a receiver has declined this year, averaging just 5.9 yards per game vs 7.9 last year.
Davante Adams's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 75.8% to 59.8%.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers profile as the 3rd-best group of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.

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