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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+120/-150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to accumulate 8.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
  • Davante Adams has been a key part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 31.3% this year, which puts him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks project as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line has given their QB 2.64 seconds before the pass (8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Davante Adams's play as a receiver has tailed off this year, accumulating just 6.1 yards per game vs 7.9 last year.
  • Davante Adams's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 75.8% to 60.9%.

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