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Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-106/-122).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -106.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to total 10.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.Davante Adams's 78.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 100th percentile for wideouts.The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has given up the highest Completion% in the NFL (72.2%) vs. wide receivers this year (72.2%).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.2% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).The Raiders are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.Davante Adams's pass-catching performance diminished this season, compiling a mere 6.5 yards per game vs 7.9 last season.Davante Adams's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 75.8% to 62.8%.
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