Davante Adams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Davante Adams

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to earn 10.9 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 98th percentile among wideouts.
Davante Adams's 74.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 98th percentile for wideouts.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Los Angeles Chargers cornerbacks project as the 4th-worst group of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
Davante Adams's play as a receiver has declined this season, accumulating just 6.5 yards per game vs 7.9 last season.
Davante Adams's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 75.8% to 62.9%.

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