Davante Adams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Davante Adams

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.6% pass rate.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 4th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to accrue 11.5 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among wideouts.
Davante Adams's 79.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 100th percentile for wideouts.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 5th-worst paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 28.94 seconds per snap.
Davante Adams's play as a receiver has declined this season, accumulating just 6.1 yards per game compared to 7.4 last season.
Davante Adams's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 75.3% to 60.0%.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (61.6%) vs. wideouts this year (61.6%).
The Denver Broncos safeties profile as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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