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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Houston Texans

Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the New York Jets to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 62.5% pass rate.

The predictive model expects Davante Adams to accrue 8.5 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year.

With an outstanding 63.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (87th percentile) this year, Davante Adams has been as one of the top wide receivers in the game in the NFL.

This year, the poor Texans defense has surrendered the 4th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wide receivers: a colossal 4.76 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are forecasted by the model to run just 63.5 total plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.

Davante Adams has been much less involved in his team's passing game this season (24.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (35.2%).

Davante Adams has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (78.0 per game) than he did last season (127.0 per game).

With a feeble 2.72 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (25th percentile) this year, Davante Adams rates among the best pass-catching WRs in the league in picking up extra yardage.

This year, the formidable Texans defense has conceded a puny 56.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the smallest rate in the league.

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