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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 57.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (64.6% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the New York Jets.
  • Our trusted projections expect Davante Adams to total 7.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 88th percentile among WRs.
  • The Jets offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • With an outstanding 63.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (90th percentile) this year, Davante Adams ranks as one of the top wide receivers in the game in the league.
  • Davante Adams's 63.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents an impressive growth in his receiving proficiency over last year's 59.2% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Jets being a 3-point favorite in this game.
  • The predictive model expects the Jets to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • After accruing 127.0 air yards per game last season, Davante Adams has produced significantly less this season, currently sitting at 82.0 per game.
  • Davante Adams's 60.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 86.5.
  • With a bad 2.38 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (20th percentile) this year, Davante Adams rates among the top pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL in the open field.

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