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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jets rank as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 68.3% pass rate.
  • The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • In this week's game, Davante Adams is forecasted by the projection model to land in the 83rd percentile among wide receivers with 7.5 targets.
  • Davante Adams has put up a colossal 120.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 100th percentile among WRs.
  • The New York Jets O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are expected by the predictive model to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • Davante Adams's 64.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 86.5.
  • Davante Adams's 2.17 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates a material decline in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 3.2% figure.

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