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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jets to pass on 63.7% of their chances: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The projections expect Davante Adams to notch 9.9 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.

As it relates to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the New York Jets grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.

With an outstanding 66.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (87th percentile) this year, Davante Adams has been among the leading wide receivers in the league in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The New York Jets have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.7 plays per game.

Davante Adams's 27.4% Target% this year shows a noteworthy regression in his air attack workload over last year's 35.2% mark.

Davante Adams has compiled far fewer air yards this season (84.0 per game) than he did last season (127.0 per game).

Davante Adams grades out as one of the least effective receivers in football, averaging just 7.37 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 23rd percentile among wide receivers

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