Davante Adams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Davante Adams

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 31, 2023 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 73.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 70.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 73.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders will be forced to use backup QB Brian Hoyer in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Raiders are a massive 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Lions defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.
This week, Davante Adams is expected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 98th percentile among wideouts with 10.9 targets.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the model to run just 60.7 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
The Las Vegas Raiders have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.4 plays per game.
Davante Adams's 3.48 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates an impressive regression in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 5.0% figure.
The Detroit Lions pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 2.66 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the NFL.

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