Davante Adams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Davante Adams

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 76.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 68.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 76.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders will be rolling out backup QB Brian Hoyer in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Chicago Bears defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (37.5 per game) this year.
The predictive model expects Davante Adams to accrue 9.1 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.
As it relates to air yards, Davante Adams ranks in the lofty 98th percentile among wideouts this year, averaging a monstrous 127.0 per game.
Davante Adams's 84.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 75.0.

Favors Under

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Raiders to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Raiders have run the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 54.2 plays per game.
Davante Adams's talent in generating extra yardage have diminished this year, totaling a measly 3.44 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.95 rate last year.

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