Davante Adams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Davante Adams

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 12:17 AM UTC

Analysis

Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 70.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 66.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their typical approach.
The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
The Minnesota Vikings defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.
This week, Davante Adams is predicted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.8 targets.
When talking about air yards, Davante Adams grades out in the towering 99th percentile among wide receivers this year, accumulating a superb 126.0 per game.

Favors Under

The model projects the Raiders to be the 3rd-least pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 55.9% pass rate.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Raiders are forecasted by the model to run only 63.1 total plays in this game: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (a measly 53.9 per game on average).
Davante Adams has accrued a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (72.0) this year than he did last year (89.0).
With a poor 59.5% Adjusted Catch% (23rd percentile) this year, Davante Adams ranks among the most unreliable receivers in football when it comes to wide receivers.

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