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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 80.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 75.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 80.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.3% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to accumulate 9.6 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Davante Adams has been an integral part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 29.0% this year, which ranks him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Davante Adams has posted significantly more air yards this season (114.0 per game) than he did last season (102.0 per game).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 6th-slowest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 29.05 seconds per snap.
  • Davante Adams has totaled quite a few less receiving yards per game (71.0) this year than he did last year (96.0).
  • Davante Adams's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 75.3% to 59.2%.
  • Davante Adams's receiving efficiency has diminished this year, notching a measly 7.93 yards-per-target compared to a 9.79 rate last year.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64%) vs. wideouts this year (64.0%).

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