Davante Adams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Davante Adams

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 80.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 75.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 80.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to accumulate 9.6 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.
Davante Adams has been an integral part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 29.0% this year, which ranks him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.
Davante Adams has posted significantly more air yards this season (114.0 per game) than he did last season (102.0 per game).
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 6th-slowest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 29.05 seconds per snap.
Davante Adams has totaled quite a few less receiving yards per game (71.0) this year than he did last year (96.0).
Davante Adams's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 75.3% to 59.2%.
Davante Adams's receiving efficiency has diminished this year, notching a measly 7.93 yards-per-target compared to a 9.79 rate last year.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64%) vs. wideouts this year (64.0%).

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