Davante Adams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Davante Adams

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 4:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 83.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 83.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 83.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to total 11.4 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.
Davante Adams has notched significantly more air yards this season (119.0 per game) than he did last season (102.0 per game).
Davante Adams's 82.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 100th percentile for wideouts.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.72 seconds per snap.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 7th-least in football.
Davante Adams has totaled a lot fewer receiving yards per game (82.0) this year than he did last year (96.0).
Davante Adams's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 75.3% to 62.7%.
Davante Adams's pass-catching effectiveness has worsened this season, totaling a mere 8.49 yards-per-target vs a 9.79 figure last season.

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