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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 83.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 83.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 83.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to total 11.4 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Davante Adams has notched significantly more air yards this season (119.0 per game) than he did last season (102.0 per game).
  • Davante Adams's 82.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 100th percentile for wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.72 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 7th-least in football.
  • Davante Adams has totaled a lot fewer receiving yards per game (82.0) this year than he did last year (96.0).
  • Davante Adams's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 75.3% to 62.7%.
  • Davante Adams's pass-catching effectiveness has worsened this season, totaling a mere 8.49 yards-per-target vs a 9.79 figure last season.

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