Davante Adams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Davante Adams

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 87.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 76.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 87.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 4th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to earn 10.8 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
Davante Adams has accumulated a whopping 105.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile among WRs.
Davante Adams has been among the leading WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 92.0 yards per game while grading out in the 99th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the league.
Davante Adams has been a much smaller piece of his team's passing attack this season (28.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (33.3%).
Davante Adams's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 75.3% to 55.0%.
Davante Adams's receiving efficiency has tailed off this year, compiling a measly 6.81 yards-per-target compared to a 9.79 mark last year.

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