Davante Adams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 86.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 85.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 86.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Las Vegas Raiders boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.2% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to earn 10.2 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
Davante Adams has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 33.0% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 99th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 3rd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 59.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Las Vegas Raiders have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Davante Adams's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 75.3% to 54.3%.
Davante Adams's receiving effectiveness has tailed off this season, notching a mere 7.13 yards-per-target vs a 9.79 figure last season.