Davante Adams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Davante Adams

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 2:16 AM EST

Analysis

Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 75.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 67.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to accumulate 8.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
Davante Adams has been a key part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 31.3% this year, which puts him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
Davante Adams has notched many more air yards this year (123.0 per game) than he did last year (104.0 per game).
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
Davante Adams's talent in generating extra yardage have gotten a boost this year, compiling 5.53 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 4.14 rate last year.

Favors Under

The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Davante Adams has totaled quite a few less receiving yards per game (90.0) this season than he did last season (101.0).
Davante Adams's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 75.8% to 60.9%.

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