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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans

Davante Adams Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +142 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: 9th-most in football.

Davante Adams has totaled significantly more air yards this season (127.0 per game) than he did last season (102.0 per game).

Davante Adams's 74.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 98th percentile for WRs.

Davante Adams ranks in the 100th percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 1.00 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Raiders are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-worst paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 28.78 seconds per play.

THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to be a much smaller piece of his offense's passing game near the end zone this week (29.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (36.1% in games he has played).

Davante Adams's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 75.3% to 57.0%.

The Houston Texans pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (59.4%) to WRs this year (59.4%).

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