Davante Adams Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-130/+100).
Key Factors
Favors Over
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Davante Adams has been a big part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 29.5% since the start of last season, which places him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.
Davante Adams has compiled a whopping 107.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile among wideouts.
Davante Adams's 78.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 99th percentile for WRs.
Favors Under
The Raiders are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the league.
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
Davante Adams's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 75.3% to 64.4%.
The Arizona Cardinals safeties project as the 9th-best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.