Davante Adams Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Davante Adams

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving TD

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Davante Adams Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-103/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +109 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Davante Adams has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 30.8% this year, which ranks him in the 97th percentile among wideouts.
Davante Adams has accumulated quite a few more air yards this season (124.0 per game) than he did last season (102.0 per game).
Davante Adams's 79.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 99th percentile for wide receivers.
Davante Adams grades out in the 99th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging an impressive 0.88 per game.

Favors Under

The Raiders are a 4-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
Davante Adams's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 75.3% to 58.6%.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has conceded the 3rd-least touchdowns through the air in the league to wide receivers: 0.44 per game this year.

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