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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Davante Adams Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+111/-149).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Raiders are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 129.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Davante Adams has posted a monstrous 102.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among WRs.

Davante Adams's 76.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 99th percentile for wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to be a much smaller piece of his offense's passing offense near the end zone this week (23.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (28.3% in games he has played).

The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The Los Angeles Chargers defense has yielded the 4th-least touchdowns through the air in the league to WRs: 0.65 per game since the start of last season.

The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Las Vegas Raiders have used play action on a measly 16.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (least in the NFL), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

More Davante Adams Player Props

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