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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Davante Adams Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+111/-149).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +111.
  • The Raiders are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 129.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Davante Adams has posted a monstrous 102.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among WRs.
  • Davante Adams's 76.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 99th percentile for wideouts.

  • THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to be a much smaller piece of his offense's passing offense near the end zone this week (23.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (28.3% in games he has played).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers defense has yielded the 4th-least touchdowns through the air in the league to WRs: 0.65 per game since the start of last season.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have used play action on a measly 16.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (least in the NFL), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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