My Account Log Out

reorder

Darren Waller

Darren Waller Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants

Darren Waller Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Giants may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) because they be forced to start backup QB Tyrod Taylor.

An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a a big -15.5-point underdog this week.

Our trusted projections expect Darren Waller to total 7.2 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among TEs.

Darren Waller's 53.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 35.9.

Darren Waller has been among the leading TE receiving threats this year, averaging an impressive 4.5 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.1% pass rate.

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Bills, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.6 per game) this year.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the worst in football this year.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Buffalo's unit has been excellent this year, ranking as the 8th-best in the league.

More Darren Waller Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™