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Darren Waller

Darren Waller Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

New York Giants vs Los Angeles Rams

Darren Waller Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Giants will be starting backup QB Tyrod Taylor in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

A passing game script is implied by the Giants being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.4 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Rams defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (38.5 per game) this year.

Our trusted projections expect Darren Waller to notch 6.8 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Giants as the 9th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 54.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Giants offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

The Rams pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (70%) to tight ends this year (70.0%).

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