Darren Waller Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Darren Waller

NFL · Player Props

Darren Waller

TE · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Darren Waller Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Giants may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) because they be forced to start backup QB Tyrod Taylor.
An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a a big -15.5-point underdog this week.
Our trusted projections expect Darren Waller to total 7.2 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among TEs.
Darren Waller's 53.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 35.9.
With a stellar 47.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (91st percentile) this year, Darren Waller ranks among the best pass-game tight ends in the league.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.1% pass rate.
Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Bills, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.6 per game) this year.
After accumulating 65.0 air yards per game last season, Darren Waller has seen a big decrease this season, currently pacing 58.0 per game.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the worst in football this year.
Darren Waller's 7.1 adjusted yards per target this year represents a a meaningful decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 9.8 figure.

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