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Darren Waller

Darren Waller Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

Darren Waller Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Giants may rely on the pass game less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be starting backup quarterback Tyrod Taylor.

This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Giants, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 130.9 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.

The Eagles defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (40.2 per game) this year.

In this week's game, Darren Waller is predicted by the model to position himself in the 94th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.4 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Giants rank as the 10th-least pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 59.2% pass rate.

Darren Waller has put up far fewer air yards this season (48.0 per game) than he did last season (65.0 per game).

The Giants offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

Darren Waller's pass-game effectiveness has declined this season, averaging a mere 7.55 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.78 rate last season.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Philadelphia's group of safeties has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 7th-best in the NFL.

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