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Darren Waller

Darren Waller Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New York Giants vs Los Angeles Rams

Darren Waller Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Giants will be starting backup QB Tyrod Taylor in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

A passing game script is implied by the Giants being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.4 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Rams defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (38.5 per game) this year.

Our trusted projections expect Darren Waller to notch 6.8 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Giants as the 9th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 54.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Darren Waller has accrued quite a few less air yards this year (48.0 per game) than he did last year (65.0 per game).

The Giants offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Darren Waller's 7.5 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a significant reduction in his receiving prowess over last season's 9.8 mark.

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