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Darren Waller

Darren Waller Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Darren Waller Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+198/-294).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -285 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -294.
  • The Raiders are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 129.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Darren Waller has accrued a whopping 86.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 99th percentile among TEs.
  • Darren Waller's 56.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 99th percentile for tight ends.

  • THE BLITZ projects Darren Waller to be a much smaller piece of his team's passing game near the end zone this week (18.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (25.9% in games he has played).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Darren Waller has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league among TEs, hauling in a mere 57.3% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 2nd percentile.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has given up the 10th-lowest Completion% in the league (70%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (70.0%).
  • The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers grade out as the 5th-best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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