Darrell Henderson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Darrell Henderson

NFL · Player Props

Darrell Henderson

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Darrell Henderson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-130/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Rams this year (a colossal 60.9 per game on average).
While Darrell Henderson has been responsible for 36.7% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Los Angeles's ground game in this week's contest at 18.9%.
This year, the weak Packers run defense has conceded a staggering 136.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 6th-most in the NFL.
The Packers defensive ends project as the 7th-worst unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

The Rams will be rolling with backup quarterback Brett Rypien in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by the model to run only 62.5 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Darrell Henderson's 2.9 adjusted yards per carry this year indicates a noteable reduction in his rushing prowess over last year's 3.9 figure.

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