Darrell Henderson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Darrell Henderson

NFL · Player Props

Darrell Henderson

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 2:10 AM EST

Analysis

Darrell Henderson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rams are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have run for the 9th-most yards in football (134 per game) versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles rank as the 5th-worst group of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in football). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 4th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 36.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Darrell Henderson has been a much smaller piece of his team's rushing attack this season (43.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (57.1%).
Darrell Henderson has rushed for many fewer yards per game (35.0) this season than he did last season (54.0).
Darrell Henderson has been among the weakest RBs in the league at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a measly 2.29 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 10th percentile.

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