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Darrell Henderson

Darrell Henderson Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 6

Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers

Darrell Henderson Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-200).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Rams are a heavy 10-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects Darrell Henderson to be a more important option in his offense's run game near the goal line this week (66.9% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (31.2% in games he has played).

Opposing offenses have run for the 7th-most TDs in the NFL (1.00 per game) vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year.

The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in football). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.74 seconds per play.

The Los Angeles Rams offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for rushers.

The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles project as the 3rd-best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box against opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Los Angeles Rams have elected to go for it on 4th down just 14.7% of the time since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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